Troy
W-L: (31-20) PR = 92.7568Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 11- 3 206 H Chattanooga SO ( 3-11, 88.4) 8- 0 207 H Chattanooga SO ( 3-11, 88.4) 9-10 207 H North Alabama ASUN ( 2- 5, 90.4) 10- 2 208 H Southern SWAC ( 2- 3, 87.3) 10- 0 213 H Central Arkansas ASUN ( 7- 9, 92.2) 8- 0 213 H IUPUI HL ( 0- 9, 86.5) 11- 3 214 H IUPUI HL ( 0- 9, 86.5) 8- 0 214 H Radford BSO ( 3-13, 90.1) 2- 1 218 H Alabama State SWAC ( 1-11, 87.1) 10- 1 220 H Furman SO ( 0- 8, 84.7) 11- 2 220 H Nicholls SL ( 8-10, 92.4) 5- 6 222 H Furman SO ( 0- 8, 84.7) 12- 4 226 A Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 7- 8 227 A Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 4-10 227 A USC Upstate BSO ( 3-11, 90.6) 5-13 228 H Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 0- 8 303 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 6- 2 307 A Florida Gulf Coast ASUN ( 3-18, 89.7) 7- 0 307 A Florida Gulf Coast ASUN ( 3-18, 89.7) 2- 3 308 A Florida Gulf Coast ASUN ( 3-18, 89.7) 5- 4 310 A Alabama State SWAC ( 1-11, 87.1) 6- 1 313 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 2- 3 314 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 0- 7 315 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 4- 5 317 A Samford SO ( 3-18, 90.4) 5- 0 320 H Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 3- 1 321 H Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 4- 2 322 H Georgia State SB (24-31, 91.4) 2- 1 325 A Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 12- 6 327 A North Dakota State SM ( 4- 7, 92.2) 2- 1 328 A San Diego State MW (25-23, 92.3) 3- 4 329 H Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 10- 2 402 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 5- 4 403 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 7-11 404 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 4- 5 408 H West Georgia ASUN ( 1- 7, 89.4) 2- 0 408 H West Georgia ASUN ( 1- 7, 89.4) 6- 4 410 H Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 7-11 411 H Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 0- 5 412 H Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 1- 2 417 A Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 5- 1 418 A Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 6- 3 419 A Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 4- 2 421 A Florida A&M SWAC ( 3- 8, 87.6) 9- 0 422 H Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 2- 0 424 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 2- 4 425 H UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 2- 6 426 A Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 4- 3 430 H Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 4- 7 501 A Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 4- 5
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Middle Tennessee 11- 3 8 3 ++ 4.75
206 H Chattanooga 8- 0 8 5 + 2.95
207 H Chattanooga 9-10 -1 5 --- -6.05
207 H North Alabama 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.87
208 H Southern 10- 0 10 6 + 3.81
213 H Central Arkansas 8- 0 8 1 +++ 6.68
213 H IUPUI 11- 3 8 7 0.99
214 H IUPUI 8- 0 8 7 0.99
214 H Radford 2- 1 1 3 - -2.42
218 H Alabama State 10- 1 9 6 + 2.63
220 H Furman 11- 2 9 9 0.19
220 H Nicholls 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.13
222 H Furman 12- 4 8 9 -0.81
226 A Auburn 7- 8 -1 -3 1.74
227 A Auburn 4-10 -6 -3 - -3.26
227 A USC Upstate 5-13 -8 1 --- -9.38
228 H Virginia Tech 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.47
303 A Georgia Tech 6- 2 4 -3 +++ 6.82
307 A Florida Gulf Coast 7- 0 7 2 ++ 4.64
307 A Florida Gulf Coast 2- 3 -1 2 - -3.36
308 A Florida Gulf Coast 5- 4 1 2 -1.36
310 A Alabama State 6- 1 5 5 0.12
313 A South Alabama 2- 3 -1 0 -0.63
314 A South Alabama 0- 7 -7 0 --- -6.63
315 A South Alabama 4- 5 -1 0 -0.63
317 A Samford 5- 0 5 2 + 3.37
320 H Georgia State 3- 1 2 2 -0.10
321 H Georgia State 4- 2 2 2 -0.10
322 H Georgia State 2- 1 1 2 -1.10
325 A Kennesaw State 12- 6 6 4 1.98
327 A North Dakota State 2- 1 1 0 1.16
328 A San Diego State 3- 4 -1 0 -0.76
329 H Southern Miss 10- 2 8 2 +++ 6.16
402 A Louisiana 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.20
403 A Louisiana 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.80
404 A Louisiana 4- 5 -1 -1 0.20
408 H West Georgia 2- 0 2 4 - -2.12
408 H West Georgia 6- 4 2 4 - -2.12
410 H Texas State 7-11 -4 0 - -3.89
411 H Texas State 0- 5 -5 0 -- -4.89
412 H Texas State 1- 2 -1 0 -0.89
417 A Georgia Southern 5- 1 4 1 + 2.63
418 A Georgia Southern 6- 3 3 1 1.63
419 A Georgia Southern 4- 2 2 1 0.63
421 A Florida A&M 9- 0 9 4 ++ 4.57
422 H Auburn 2- 0 2 -1 + 3.25
424 H UL Monroe 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.86
425 H UL Monroe 2- 6 -4 1 -- -4.86
426 A Marshall 4- 3 1 -2 + 2.85
430 H Marshall 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.63
501 A Coastal Carolina 4- 5 -1 1 -1.53
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Chattanooga 9-10 -1 5 --- -6.05 227 A USC Upstate 5-13 -8 1 --- -9.38 314 A South Alabama 0- 7 -7 0 --- -6.63 228 H Virginia Tech 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.47 411 H Texas State 0- 5 -5 0 -- -4.89 425 H UL Monroe 2- 6 -4 1 -- -4.86 214 H Radford 2- 1 1 3 - -2.42 220 H Nicholls 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.13 227 A Auburn 4-10 -6 -3 - -3.26 307 A Florida Gulf Coast 2- 3 -1 2 - -3.36 403 A Louisiana 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.80 408 H West Georgia 2- 0 2 4 - -2.12 408 H West Georgia 6- 4 2 4 - -2.12 410 H Texas State 7-11 -4 0 - -3.89 424 H UL Monroe 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.86 430 H Marshall 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.63 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 H Central Arkansas 8- 0 8 1 +++ 6.68 303 A Georgia Tech 6- 2 4 -3 +++ 6.82 329 H Southern Miss 10- 2 8 2 +++ 6.16 206 H Middle Tennessee 11- 3 8 3 ++ 4.75 207 H North Alabama 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.87 307 A Florida Gulf Coast 7- 0 7 2 ++ 4.64 421 A Florida A&M 9- 0 9 4 ++ 4.57 206 H Chattanooga 8- 0 8 5 + 2.95 208 H Southern 10- 0 10 6 + 3.81 218 H Alabama State 10- 1 9 6 + 2.63 317 A Samford 5- 0 5 2 + 3.37 402 A Louisiana 5- 4 1 -1 + 2.20 417 A Georgia Southern 5- 1 4 1 + 2.63 422 H Auburn 2- 0 2 -1 + 3.25 426 A Marshall 4- 3 1 -2 + 2.85 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 11- 3 -9.65 9.72 -0.74 0.49 8.87
3 H Chattanooga ( 3-11, 88.4) 8- 0 -11.45 7.92 -0.74 0.49 7.09
3 H Chattanooga ( 3-11, 88.4) 9-10 -11.45 7.92 -0.74 0.49 -3.01
3 H North Alabama ( 2- 5, 90.4) 10- 2 -9.53 9.84 -0.74 0.49 8.99
3 H Southern ( 2- 3, 87.3) 10- 0 -12.59 6.78 -0.74 0.49 5.97
3 H Central Arkans ( 7- 9, 92.2) 8- 0 -7.72 11.65 -0.74 0.49 10.78
3 H IUPUI ( 0- 9, 86.5) 11- 3 -13.41 5.96 -0.74 0.49 5.15
3 H IUPUI ( 0- 9, 86.5) 8- 0 -13.41 5.96 -0.74 0.49 5.15
3 H Radford ( 3-13, 90.1) 2- 1 -9.83 9.54 -0.74 0.49 8.70
3 H Alabama State ( 1-11, 87.1) 10- 1 -12.77 6.60 -0.74 0.49 5.79
3 H Furman ( 0- 8, 84.7) 11- 2 -15.22 4.15 -0.74 0.49 3.37
3 H Nicholls ( 8-10, 92.4) 5- 6 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.49 -2.04
3 H Furman ( 0- 8, 84.7) 12- 4 -15.22 4.15 -0.74 0.49 3.37
3 A Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 7- 8 -5.15 14.22 0.74 0.49 -1.09
3 A Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 4-10 -5.15 14.22 0.74 0.49 -1.09
3 A USC Upstate ( 3-11, 90.6) 5-13 -9.27 10.10 0.74 0.49 -2.11
3 H Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 0- 8 -2.87 16.50 -0.74 0.49 -0.89
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 6- 2 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.49 14.87
3 A Florida Gulf C ( 3-18, 89.7) 7- 0 -10.24 9.13 0.74 0.49 9.75
3 A Florida Gulf C ( 3-18, 89.7) 2- 3 -10.24 9.13 0.74 0.49 -2.35
3 A Florida Gulf C ( 3-18, 89.7) 5- 4 -10.24 9.13 0.74 0.49 9.75
3 A Alabama State ( 1-11, 87.1) 6- 1 -12.77 6.60 0.74 0.49 7.26
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 2- 3 -7.52 11.85 0.74 0.49 -1.67
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 0- 7 -7.52 11.85 0.74 0.49 -1.67
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 4- 5 -7.52 11.85 0.74 0.49 -1.67
3 A Samford ( 3-18, 90.4) 5- 0 -9.52 9.85 0.74 0.49 10.47
3 H Georgia State (24-31, 91.4) 3- 1 -8.50 10.87 -0.74 0.49 10.01
3 H Georgia State (24-31, 91.4) 4- 2 -8.50 10.87 -0.74 0.49 10.01
3 H Georgia State (24-31, 91.4) 2- 1 -8.50 10.87 -0.74 0.49 10.01
3 A Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 12- 6 -11.91 7.46 0.74 0.49 8.11
3 A North Dakota S ( 4- 7, 92.2) 2- 1 -7.72 11.65 0.74 0.49 12.25
3 A San Diego Stat (25-23, 92.3) 3- 4 -7.65 11.72 0.74 0.49 -1.71
3 H Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 10- 2 -8.24 11.13 -0.74 0.49 10.27
3 A Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 5- 4 -6.68 12.69 0.74 0.49 13.27
3 A Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 7-11 -6.68 12.69 0.74 0.49 -1.47
3 A Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 4- 5 -6.68 12.69 0.74 0.49 -1.47
3 H West Georgia ( 1- 7, 89.4) 2- 0 -10.52 8.85 -0.74 0.49 8.01
3 H West Georgia ( 1- 7, 89.4) 6- 4 -10.52 8.85 -0.74 0.49 8.01
3 H Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 7-11 -6.29 13.08 -0.74 0.49 -1.74
3 H Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 0- 5 -6.29 13.08 -0.74 0.49 -1.74
3 H Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 1- 2 -6.29 13.08 -0.74 0.49 -1.74
3 A Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 5- 1 -9.26 10.11 0.74 0.49 10.73
3 A Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 6- 3 -9.26 10.11 0.74 0.49 10.73
3 A Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 4- 2 -9.26 10.11 0.74 0.49 10.73
3 A Florida A&M ( 3- 8, 87.6) 9- 0 -12.31 7.06 0.74 0.49 7.71
3 H Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 2- 0 -5.15 14.22 -0.74 0.49 13.32
3 H UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 2- 4 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.49 -1.98
3 H UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 2- 6 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.49 -1.98
3 A Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 4- 3 -6.03 13.34 0.74 0.49 13.92
3 H Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 4- 7 -6.03 13.34 -0.74 0.49 -1.67
3 A Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 4- 5 -8.42 10.95 0.74 0.49 -1.90
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247.46
|
winning pts = 282.4470 losing points = -34.9887
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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